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(Best) MAPP, YGE, CSIQ (Worst) ROS, BCSI, TEX from Better Trades

June 2, 2009

Coming off the third consecutive week in which the major indices posted gains, March proved to be the best month, with regards to percentage gains, in which the markets have seen since the 1930s. Over the past week, several companies made solid increases in their market share, while others were not as profitable during the markets push higher.

Top 3 Stocks

MAPP – MAP Pharmaceuticals Inc. ($3.15 to $12.09) +283.8%

The largest percentage moving stock during the previous week came from MAP Pharmaceuticals Inc. (MAPP), a user of proprietary inhalation technologies to enhance the therapeutic benefits and commercial attractiveness of proven drugs while minimizing risk by capitalizing on their known safety, efficacy and commercialization history. The company’s has two advanced product candidates, a proprietary formulation of nebulized budesonide for the potential treatment of children with asthma, and a proprietary formulation of inhaled dihydroergotamine for the potential treatment of migraine.

During the middle of last week, the company’s inhaled migraine therapy drug, Levadex, surpassed all four trial endpoints for the drug in the first of the drug’s late-stage clinical trials. The trial included analytical data relating to the patient’s level of pain relief, as well as being phonophobia-, photophobia- and nausea-free for at least two hours after dosing.

Shashidhar Kori, vice president of clinical development and medical affairs at MAP Pharmaceuticals stated, "Levadex showed sustained pain relief for up to two days in this trial with fewer of the side effects generally seen with commonly used migraine treatments."

The company plans to release additional data from the clinical trials in the coming weeks. Furthermore, an analyst from Deutsche Bank raised the company’s outlook from a “hold” rating to a “buy,” citing that Levadex should have a release date in late 2011 and could reach sales of more than $250M.

Following the release of clinical results, the company’s stock took off in trading for the remainder of the week. After starting the week trading in the low $3 range, MAPP surged more than 280% to conclude the week just over $12 a share. However, to start the first trading session in June, MAPP shares slipped 6%, or $0.72, to close out the trading week at $11.37 per share. Over the course of a year, shares of MAPP have traded within a range between $1.57 and $14.80 per share.

YGE – Yingli Green Energy Holding Co. Ltd. ($9.35 to $12.80) +36.9%

With the days becoming increasingly warmer and sunnier, energy stocks, more notably solar companies, have begun to increase their market share as the overall markets continue on their multi-month uptrend. Included in theses stocks is Yingli Green Energy Holding Co. Ltd. (YGE), which posted solid gains over the past week, despite revealing a lower-than-expected earnings report to close out the week before last.

Yingli, a leading vertically integrated manufacturer of photovoltaic products in China, has expanded rapidly since being incorporated in 1998. When the company began production of polysilicon wafers, its annual production capacity has expanded from three megawatts of PV modules to ninety-five megawatts of polysilicon ingots and wafers, ninety megawatts of photovoltaic, or PV, cells and one hundred megawatts of PV modules.

Even with a 1Q loss of $20.7M, or $0.16 per ADS, the company’s stock remained resilient and posted substantial gains over the past week of trading. Yingli also reported that quarterly sales fell nearly 38% year-over-year to $146.3M. At first glance, investors would assume that Yingli’s stock should be getting battered these days, but that is not the case. In fact, the stock jumped nearly 37% over the course of a week, as well as being upgraded by analysts from Collins Stewart and Lazard Capital Markets.

By the end of the holiday-shortened trading week, shares of YGE added more than $3 per share during that time frame. Over the past 52 weeks, Yingli shares have traded as high as $21.44 per share, and as low as $2.50 per share. YGE shares continued on their torrent pace to start the new trading week, adding nearly 11%, or $1.40, to close out Monday’s session at $14.20 per share.

CSIQ – Canadian Solar Inc. ($10.01 to $13.23) +32.2%

Another solar company benefiting from increasing market strength, Canadian Solar Inc. (CSIQ), posted solid stock moves throughout the previous week, even with a loss recorded in the company’s most recent 1Q. The company citied a decline in average sale prices as well as a decrease in shipments that weighed heavily on the bottom-line amidst the current global recession.

Operating as a vertically integrated manufacturer of solar modules and customer-designed solar application products, Canadian Solar is incorporated in Canada, yet conducts all of its manufacturing operations in China. In similar circumstances as Yingli Green Energy, CSIQ booked a quarterly loss, yet somehow managed to influence investors enough to push shares more than 30% higher over the course of a week.

In their earnings report, CSIQ took a net loss of $4.8M, or $0.13 per share compared to a profit of $18.6M, or $0.57 per share a year earlier. The key catalyst to the company’s loss was a 71% decline in sales, which fell from $171.2M to $49.5M, due largely to the economic environment.

Despite the company’s lack-luster quarterly performance, Canadian Solar has more than quadrupled over the past three months, and seen a handful of upgrades along the way. The most recent was from Oppenheimer, which raised their target price to $14 per share and rated the stock as “outperform,” up from “perform.”

Canadian Solar "managed its balance sheet significantly better than peers throughout this downturn," confirmed Sam Dubinsky an Oppenheimer analyst, adding that overall, the company is undervalued.

Concluding May at just over $13 per share, the past week proved to be quite beneficial for the stock, adding 32.2% in market value. During the past year, shares of Canadian Solar have traded within a range between $3.00 and $51.80 per share. Albeit a far cry from their yearly high set back in late June 2008, shares of CSIQ posted modest gains to start the new month in trading, adding $0.42, or 3.2%, to end the first session in June at $13.65 per share.

Worst 3 Stocks

ROS – Rostelecom OAO ($46.75 to $34.46) -26.3%

On the downside of the markets, numerous companies could not bask in the gains that the overall markets participated in, including Rostelecom OAO (ROS). Rostelecom is the main telecommunications operator providing long-distance and international telecommunications services throughout Russia. The company provides transit services for a number of foreign operators as well as TV and sound broadcasting via its network throughout the country.

The most damaging news that came out last week affecting Rostelecom was the Russian government announcing that there would be a reorganization of telecom giant Svyazinvest, under the umbrella of Rostelecom, which is considered a monopoly in the communication industry in Russia. The reorganization will allow the government to play a larger role in the country’s telecom industry and should allow Svyazinvest the ability to expand in Russia and abroad.

As many foreign stocks fluctuate sometimes on little or no news, Rostelecom is no exception. Trading in the high $40s, shares of ROS dropped more than $12 over the past week on very little news. With more than a 26% loss in market share, ROS ended the week just under $35 per share. As the new trading week begins, Rostelecom shares rebounded from last week’s loss to trade higher at the start of June’s trading, adding $2.69, or 7.8%, to end Monday’s session at $37.15 per share.

ROS – Rostelecom OAO ($46.75 to $34.46) -26.3%

On the downside of the markets, numerous companies could not bask in the gains that the overall markets participated in, including Rostelecom OAO (ROS). Rostelecom is the main telecommunications operator providing long-distance and international telecommunications services throughout Russia. The company provides transit services for a number of foreign operators as well as TV and sound broadcasting via its network throughout the country.

The most damaging news that came out last week affecting Rostelecom was the Russian government announcing that there would be a reorganization of telecom giant Svyazinvest, under the umbrella of Rostelecom, which is considered a monopoly in the communication industry in Russia. The reorganization will allow the government to play a larger role in the country’s telecom industry and should allow Svyazinvest the ability to expand in Russia and abroad.

As many foreign stocks fluctuate sometimes on little or no news, Rostelecom is no exception. Trading in the high $40s, shares of ROS dropped more than $12 over the past week on very little news. With more than a 26% loss in market share, ROS ended the week just under $35 per share. As the new trading week begins, Rostelecom shares rebounded from last week’s loss to trade higher at the start of June’s trading, adding $2.69, or 7.8%, to end Monday’s session at $37.15 per share.

TEX – Terex Corp. ($14.94 to $13.42) - 10.2%

Posting substantial losses for the week, Terex Corp. (TEX), a global manufacturer of a broad range of construction and mining related capital equipment, witnessed a decline in their stock’s price over the past week, following the announcement that company plans to raise more than $600M in financing in order to pay-down some of their debt.

Terex, whose primary product line includes telescopic mobile cranes, aerial work platforms, utility aerial devices, telescopic material handlers, truck mounted mobile cranes, rigid and articulated off-highway trucks and high capacity surface mining trucks, and related components and replacement parts, is looking to publicly price debt and stock for an offering of $662M.

The offerings will include $300M in senior notes due 2016, and $150M in convertible senior notes due in 2015. In addition to the debt offerings, Terex is offering 11 million shares of common stock prices at $13 per share. The company anticipates the public offering to close on June 3. Citigroup (C), Credit Suisse (CS) and UBS Investment Bank (UBS) are cooperating with Terex as managers of the offerings.

"Though dilutive, Terex's planned capital raise and credit agreement amendment eliminate uncertainty regarding potential covenant violations, while increasing liquidity and bolstering management's flexibility in dealing with, and potentially taking advantage of, extremely weak market conditions," stated Robert McCarthy, an analyst with Baird.

By the sound of the closing bell on the final trading day in May, shares of Terex had dropped more than 10% for the week to conclude at $13.42 per share. Nevertheless, the company’s stock rebounded nicely in the first trading session in June, recouping a large portion of the previous week’s losses by gaining $0.95, or 7.1%, to end Monday’s trading at $14.37 per share.

During the past year, shares of TEX have traded as high as $72.24 and as low as $7.34 per share.

2009 Better Trades Article

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BRIAN MULLIN