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(Best) DWA, BIG, MRVL (Worst) RINO, STE, DD from Better Trades

December 9, 2009

Following choppy trading throughout much of the week, the markets rallied heading into the final session on upbeat employment news. Investors are continuing to look for reliable signs of recovery within the economy.

The DOW closed the week higher, adding 0.8% to close at 10,388.22. The S&P also finished the week in the green, gaining 1.7% ending at 1,105.89. The NASDAQ concluded the week up, advancing 2.6% to close at 2,194.35.

Top 3 Stocks

DWA – DreamWorks Animation SKG Inc. ($32.53 to $38.88) +19.5%

One of the leading companies to post solid gains throughout the past week was DreamWorks Animation SKG Inc. (DWA), which develops and produces computer generated animated feature films for a broad movie-going audience. DreamWork’s recent surge in stock price was related to an agreement with THQ Inc. (THQI) on a multi-year, multi-property video game license contract.

DreamWorks entered the arrangement with THQ, which is a developer, publisher and distributor of interactive entertainment software for the leading hardware platforms in the home video game market, in order to capitalize on the world’s gaming industry.

Announced on December 2, the agreement outlines THQ’s exclusive worldwide rights to develop and publish video games based on DreamWorks Animation's upcoming animated feature films, Kung Fu Panda: The Kaboom of Doom and Puss In Boots. THQ will also be granted the rights to the popular CG animated television show, The Penguins of Madagascar.

THQ will also be provided the rights to publish interactive games based on these DreamWorks’ properties for all gaming console and handheld systems, including Microsoft’s Xbox, Sony’s PlayStation and Nintendo’s Wii.

Doug Clemmer, THQ Executive Vice President, Kids, Family and Casual Games, commented on the deal, "The three properties announced today, in addition to MegaMind, underscore our commitment to reinvigorating our portfolio of licensed games for kids and families with top global entertainment brands."

Kerry Phelan, Head of Worldwide Consumer Products for DreamWorks Animation, also commented on the recent agreement, "We are pleased to expand our relationship with THQ and continue to be impressed by their focus on the kids and family videogame business. We look forward to extending the reach of our feature films and The Penguins of Madagascar TV series into a broad line of games and believe THQ will do a great job of maximizing our properties for family audiences."

Having gained nearly 20% in market value following the announcement, shares of DreamWorks could not continue that upward momentum at the start of a new trading week. By the close of the December 7 trading session shares of DWA were down $0.83, or 2.1%, at $38.05 per share.

Over the past year, the company stock price has traded within a relatively broad range, reaching a low of $17.32 per share, while climbing as high as $39.25 per share, which was reached during Monday’s session.

BIG – Big Lots Inc. ($24.01 to $28.08) +17.0%

As one of the leading value retailers specializing in closeout merchandise and toys, Big Lots Inc. (BIG) saw a 17% increase in market value last week on the strength of the company’s recent quarterly earnings report. Announcing for the 3Q, Big Lots confirmed that the company’s profit for the period more than doubled as lower expenses and reduced inventory bolstered the bottom-line.

During the quarter, Big Lots recorded a net profit of $30.3M, or $0.37 per share, in contrast to the previous year’s profit of $12.2M, or $0.15 per share, an increase in net earnings of 148%. Results were strengthened by the sale of a California store, which added $0.10 per share to the final figure.

Quarterly sales were also up year-over-year, climbing from $1.02B to $1.04B, an increase of nearly 2%. However, same store sales, a reliable economic indicator, slipped 0.2% during the quarter. Aiding in the company’s earnings was a reduction of inventory, which was cut by more than 4%, from $958M to $918M. Big Lots also lowered their selling and administrative costs, from $366.5M to $365.2M.

On average, analysts within the industry were looking for the discount retailer to post a quarterly profit of $0.18 per share on $1.02B in overall sales.

In reaction to the company’s stellar earnings release, Big Lots revised their yearly earnings outlook upwards and is now expecting to post a profit between $2.15 and $2.20 per share. That is up from a previously stated range of $1.92 to $2.02 per share.

The company also raised their 4Q expectations to a range of $1.09 to $1.14 per share. The previously stated range was between $0.99 and $1.04 per share. Analysts are looking for Big Lots to post a 4Q profit of $1.04 per share and an annual profit of $2.01 per share.

After posting a gain of more than $4 per share last week, the company’s stock continued higher at the start of the new trading week, as shares traded in the green during Monday’s session. At the conclusion of the December 7 session, shares of BIG were higher by $0.08, or 0.3%, to end the day at $28.16 per share.

During the past year, share of Big Lots has traded between $12.62 per share and $28.64 per share, the upper end being reached during Monday’s trading.

MRVL – Marvell Technology Group Ltd. ($15.63 to $18.06) +15.5%

Rounding out the list of top percentage gainers for the week ending December 4 was Marvell Technology Group Ltd. (MRVL), which saw their stock price jump more than 15% following the company’s strong earnings report. Marvell is a leading designer, developer and supplier of mixed-signal and digital-signal processing integrated circuit for high-speed, high-density, digital data storage and broadband digital data networking markets.

Reporting for the 3Q, Marvell announced that the company’s profit for the period came in at $201.6M, or $0.32 per share, up from a profit of $70.9M, or $0.12 per share a year ago, an increase in earnings of 184%. Excluding one-time charges, the company posted a net profit of $0.35 per share.

Net revenues for the period came in at $803.1M, up from last year’s 3Q results of $791.05M, an increase in overall sales of 1.5%. however, based on a quarter-over-quarter basis, sales surged nearly 25%.

Analysts, on average, were anticipating a quarterly profit of $0.27 per share from Marvell, based on overall revenues of $770M.

Commenting on the company’s results was Dr. Sehat Sutardja, Marvell Chairman and CEO, "We are very pleased with the revenue growth we experienced in the third quarter of fiscal 2010. Our sequential revenue growth was better than our revised guidance provided on October 26, 2009, as order momentum improved across all our addressable end-markets.”

Looking ahead to the 4Q, Marvell expects earnings to come in between $0.33 and $0.39 per share, based on total sales of $820M to $850M. In the meantime, analysts are looking for the chipmaker to record a 4Q profit of $0.27 per share on $779.57M in overall sales.

At the close of the December 7 trading session, shares of MRVL were down marginally, falling $0.15, or 0.8%, to end the day at $17.91. During Monday’s session, the company’s stock established a new 52-week trading high of $18.38 per share. The stock has also traded as low as $5.30 a share over the past year.

Worst 3 Stocks

RINO – Rino International Corporation ($32.35 to 27.63) -14.6%

Leading the way of top percentage losers for the past week was Rino International Corporation (RINO). Rino is a leading provider of environmental protection equipment for the iron and steel industry in China. Within that market, RINO designs, manufactures, installs and services proprietary and patented wastewater treatment, flue gas desulphurization equipment, and high temperature anti-oxidation systems, which are all designed to reduce either industrial pollution and/or improve energy utilization.

Although there was no significant news that influenced trading during the past week, there was an announcement by the company that they were initiating a plan to raise $100M in capital. Rino entered into a definitive agreement with several institutional investors to sell stock priced at $30.75 per share. The company also affirmed, in addition to the selling of common shares, that each investor would receive two warrants exercisable for common shares worth up to an additional $78.5M with an exercise price of $34.50 per share.

The warrants, which were issued as Series A and B, have variable stipulations. The Series A warrants expire on June 6, 2010 and are exercisable immediately, while the Series B warrants are not exercisable until June 3, 2010 and expire on December 3, 2010.

Rino’s offering of shares and warrants in order to raise capital was declared effective following a statement by the SEC on November 25.

Although investors were not positively influenced by the company’s recent announcement, shares of RINO surged during the December 7 session, following a week that saw the company’s stock price dip nearly 15%. At the close of Monday’s session, the stock gained $1.23, or 4.5%, to end the day at $28.86 per share.

During the past year, shares of RINO have traded within a broad range, reaching a low of $2.00 in early March 2009, while climbing to a yearly high of $35.15 per share, reached December 1, 2009.

STE – Steris Corporation ($32.48 to $29.14) -10.3%

Included in the list of percentage losers was Steris Corporation (STE), a leading provider of infection prevention, contamination prevention, and surgical support systems, products, services, and technologies to healthcare, scientific, research, and industrial customers throughout the world. During last week’s trading, shares of Steris Corp. slipped more than 10% on news from the FDA, which stated that hospitals and doctors should discontinue using a device manufactured by Steris to sterilize surgical tools after reports of malfunctions.

The device in question is the Steris SS1 sterilizer, which did not meet standards of the FDA to be safe and effective. Users of the device have reported problems indicating that the lack of sterilization of the device has led to patients becoming infected from the unsterile instrument. The FDA stated that physicians should begin using alternative instruments as quickly as possible.

The FDA stated, “Steris apparently has been reassuring customers that there is no need for a change in their clinical practice. The firm has also continued to design or redesign new accessories for the SS1. This is inconsistent with commitments made by the firm.”

The Food and Drug Administration later added that, "The FDA has determined that Steris's failure to meet its commitments, taken with a lack of data showing the safety and effectiveness of the SS1, supports advising healthcare facilities to transition to legally marketed alternatives to this device."

In response to the FDA’s warning, Walt Rosebrough, Steris’ President and CEO, stated, "We disagree with the FDA's recent notice and are working to engage in further dialogue with the Agency about this matter. Since its introduction in 1988, we estimate that the SYSTEM 1 Sterile Processing System has safely and effectively sterilized more than 300 million devices when used as directed."

The FDA did, however, mention that healthcare administrators could continue to use the SS1 device if no other alternative is available until further notice. In May 2008, the FDA warned Steris that changes to the SS1 system could dramatically alter the device’s safety and effectiveness. In response, Steris commented in January 2009 that the company would voluntarily discontinue U.S. sales of the device and help customers replace the devices. Apparently, that was not the case.

Following the news of the defective sterilizing device, shares of STE plunged more than 10% during last week’s trading. As the new week begins, investors started to reassess the recent development, sending the stock higher.

By the close of the December 7 trading session, shares of Steris added 3.6%, or $1.06, to conclude the day at $30.30 per share. Within the past year, the company’s stock has traded between $19.20 and $35.42 per share.

DD – El DuPont de Nemours & Co. ($34.40 to $32.34) -6.0%

Although not losing as much as the two aforementioned companies, El DuPont de Nemours & Co. (DD), or DuPont as most commonly known, slipped 6% during last week’s sessions on news that the company’s Pioneer Hi-Bred seed technology would delay the release of its corn and soybean products. DuPont, which is involved in a wide array of businesses, is primarily involved in science and technology, which includes high-performance materials, specialty chemicals, pharmaceuticals and biotechnology.

News of the delay pushed the price of the stock down more than $2 per share, as DuPont revealed that current versions of the trait in corn did not meet the high-yield standards of Pioneer’s seed business. The Optimum GAT corn trait demonstrated superior glyphosate and ALS herbicide tolerance efficacy, but did not meet the company’s requirements.

As for the company’s Optimum GAT soybean trait, DuPont said that the trait did well in tolerance to herbicides as did the corn trait, as well as providing a 6% yield above comparable varieties that Pioneer currently offers. DuPont expects the soybean trait to be available for commercial sale in two to three years. That is well past the expected 2011 introduction. The reason for the soybean delay was due to changes in regulatory policy in key import markets.

Pioneer's continued performance in the trait industry led to a remark from the division’s President Paul Schickler, " While we are disappointed about not meeting our Optimum GAT timeline, I'm encouraged with our overall research pipeline. Product performance, along with a strong focus on the right product for the right acre, grew corn and soybean market share in 2009, and we expect to do it again in 2010."

Despite posting a down week throughout last week’s trading, shares of DuPont rebounded to start the new week. by the end of the December 7 session, shares of DD were up marginally, adding $0.06, or 0.2%, to close out at $32.40 per share.

Throughout the past year, the company’s stock price has traded within a relatively broad range, falling to a low of $16.05 in early March of this year, while topping out at $35.62 per share on December 3, 2009.

2009 Better Trades Article

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BRIAN MULLIN